{
  "date": "2026-09-14",
  "runId": "zg-2026-09-14T22-04-46-961Z",
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      "title": "Swedish left-wing bloc narrowly ahead with election too close to call",
      "source": "BBC",
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      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0qx5d79kdeo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 08:36:09 GMT"
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      "title": "Wild dogs record 2,500-mile trek across Zambia in search of a mate",
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      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy459y5y9yxo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 14:08:12 GMT"
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      "title": "Thousands demand end to violence in Mexican cartel hotspot",
      "source": "BBC",
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      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cde06rxw5g6o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 11:28:36 GMT"
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      "title": "Legendary costume designer Bob Mackie dies aged 87",
      "source": "BBC",
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      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cmpq04wx8l4eo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 21:29:12 GMT"
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      "title": "Malaysian boy acquitted for murder of schoolgirl on grounds of insanity",
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      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 08:58:27 GMT"
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      "title": "Immigrants held in small outdoor cages at 'Alligator Alcatraz' in Florida, investigators find",
      "source": "BBC",
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      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqrk37rrpk23o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 16:48:10 GMT"
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      "title": "China criticises idea it is in 'malicious competition' over AI",
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      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 11:31:39 GMT"
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      "title": "Israeli attack targets Gaza displacement camp",
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      "title": "‘It’s not science fiction’: US Air Force must build trust in AI, says expert",
      "source": "DefenseNews",
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      "title": "Russia hits Ukrainian train shortly after Boris Johnson and top European officials leave station",
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      "publishedAt": "Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:18:13 GMT"
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      "title": "US repeals rules limiting greenhouse gas emissions by power plants",
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      "title": "US military must focus on ‘right mix’ of weapons amid stockpile concerns: Official",
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      "title": "Macklemore cut from Ed Sheeran tour for pro-Palestine stance",
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      "title": "U.S. imposes Iran-related sanctions on Russia's VTB - Reuters",
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      "title": "Is a 'SaaSpocalypse'-like sell-off coming for AI hardware stocks? Not so fast",
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      "title": "Final Emmy Predictions in 116 Categories: HBO Max Poised to Dominate With ‘The Pitt’ as ‘Widow’s Bay’ and ‘Hacks’ Chase Opposite All-Time Records",
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      "title": "China criticises idea it is in 'malicious competition' over AI",
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        "source": "CNBC",
        "category": "markets",
        "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/14/is-a-saaspocalypse-like-sell-off-coming-for-ai-hardware-stocks-not-so-fast.html",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T18:43:44.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "As the oil surge continues, trader Mike Khouw sees more upside in this surging name",
        "source": "CNBC",
        "category": "markets",
        "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/14/as-the-oil-surge-continues-trader-mike-khouw-sees-more-upside-in-this-surging-name.html",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:16:23.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "hardMoney": {
    "quotes": [
      {
        "symbol": "GLD",
        "price": 392.84,
        "changePercent": -1.4871,
        "label": "hard-money"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "SLV",
        "price": 56.84,
        "changePercent": -2.2023,
        "label": "hard-money"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "US10Y",
        "price": 4.961,
        "changePercent": 3.225135247607163,
        "label": "yield"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "UUP",
        "price": 28.17,
        "changePercent": 0.3563,
        "label": "dollar"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "TLT",
        "price": 80.93,
        "changePercent": 0.0742,
        "label": "bonds"
      }
    ]
  },
  "crypto": {
    "quotes": [
      {
        "id": "bitcoin",
        "symbol": "BTC",
        "priceUsd": 78701.505,
        "change24h": 2.6531266995058496
      },
      {
        "id": "ethereum",
        "symbol": "ETH",
        "priceUsd": 2543.305,
        "change24h": 2.7855457131772856
      },
      {
        "id": "solana",
        "symbol": "SOL",
        "priceUsd": 103.15,
        "change24h": 3.4506971611997175
      }
    ],
    "headlines": []
  },
  "polymarket": [
    {
      "question": "Broncos vs. Chiefs",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Broncos",
          "price": 0.455
        },
        {
          "name": "Chiefs",
          "price": 0.545
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 6237848.182311031,
      "endDate": "2026-09-15",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-den-kc-2026-09-15",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.125
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.875
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 5175200.763355977,
      "endDate": "2026-09-16",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-september-2026-meeting-615",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.0015
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.9985
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 4911900.059535996,
      "endDate": "2026-09-16",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-september-2026-meeting-586",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.0095
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.9905
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 3319360.7135040015,
      "endDate": "2026-09-16",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-september-2026-meeting-664",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.875
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.125
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 3227765.5590589987,
      "endDate": "2026-09-16",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-september-2026-meeting-649",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.215
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.785
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 1114920.4977590006,
      "endDate": "2027-01-01",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Yes",
          "price": 0.0005
        },
        {
          "name": "No",
          "price": 0.9995
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 989712.06,
      "endDate": "2026-09-16",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-september-2026-meeting-863",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    },
    {
      "question": "Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend",
      "outcomes": [
        {
          "name": "Tatjana Maria",
          "price": 0.465
        },
        {
          "name": "Taylor Townsend",
          "price": 0.535
        }
      ],
      "volume24hr": 489208.3861610001,
      "endDate": "2026-09-20",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wta-maria-townsen-2026-09-13",
      "source": "Polymarket"
    }
  ],
  "sentiment": {
    "fearGreed": {
      "value": 57,
      "classification": "Greed",
      "timestamp": "2026-09-14T00:00:00.000Z"
    }
  },
  "tech": [
    {
      "title": "Steam Frame starts at $1059",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://store.steampowered.com/hardware/steamframe",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:27:55Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "XCancel service is suspended until further notice",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://xcancel.com/#",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T09:51:50Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "An atlas of periodic solutions to the three-body problem",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://www.threebodyorbits.com/",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T10:13:24Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "OpenAI bots knew about the RubyGems caching vulnerability",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://tenderlovemaking.com/2026/09/11/what-a-time-to-be-alive/",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T12:40:57Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "Ask HN: What are you working on? (September 2026)",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T17:31:38Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "iOS 27, iPadOS 27, and macOS 27",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/09/major-updates-for-apples-software-platforms-are-now-available/",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:50:29Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "Pion, an agent designed to run any company autonomously",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://andonlabs.com/blog/why-we-built-pion",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:16:06Z"
    },
    {
      "title": "EuroBirdPortal – Live bird movements across Europe",
      "source": "HN",
      "category": "tech",
      "url": "https://www.eurobirdportal.org/ebp/en/",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T08:25:47Z"
    }
  ],
  "sourceStatus": [
    {
      "source": "finnhub",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "bbc-world",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "aljazeera",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "defense-news",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "oilprice",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "eia-today",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "rigzone",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "nyt-energy",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "bbc-business",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "variety",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "hackernews",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "coinbase",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "alternative-me-fng",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "hard-money",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "polymarket",
      "ok": true
    },
    {
      "source": "energy-quotes",
      "ok": true
    }
  ],
  "briefing": {
    "mode": "daily",
    "lens": {
      "id": "julius-caesar",
      "name": "Julius Caesar",
      "tag": "Caesar"
    },
    "erin": [
      "The die is cast — but first, read the auspices.",
      "The Senate of prices has spoken in numbers, not speeches: Polymarket Fed +25 bps ~88% Yes (no-change 13%); 10-year ~4.961% (+3.23%); UUP +0.36%; GLD -1.49%; SLV -2.20%; oil +6.08%; SPY -0.45%; Fear & Greed 57 (Greed).",
      "Sources cleared this run — still read the prices before the parade.",
      "Alea iacta est only after you know which river you cross. Cross toward short duration and real scarcity; do not winter in long-duration vanity while the 10-year winters you.",
      "Veni for the data. Vidi for the bets. Vinci for the position that survives the next decree from the Fed."
    ],
    "narrative": [
      "The die is cast — but first, read the auspices.",
      "The Senate of prices has spoken in numbers, not speeches: Polymarket Fed +25 bps ~88% Yes (no-change 13%); 10-year ~4.961% (+3.23%); UUP +0.36%; GLD -1.49%; SLV -2.20%; oil +6.08%; SPY -0.45%; Fear & Greed 57 (Greed).",
      "Sources cleared this run — still read the prices before the parade.",
      "Alea iacta est only after you know which river you cross. Cross toward short duration and real scarcity; do not winter in long-duration vanity while the 10-year winters you.",
      "Veni for the data. Vidi for the bets. Vinci for the position that survives the next decree from the Fed."
    ],
    "signals": [
      {
        "id": "follow-the-bets",
        "title": "Follow the bets",
        "summary": "Fed +25 bps priced ~87.5% Yes on Polymarket.",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "label": "Polymarket: Fed +25 bps",
            "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-september-2026-meeting-649"
          },
          {
            "label": "Polymarket: no change",
            "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-september-2026-meeting-615"
          },
          {
            "label": "Zeitgeist PREDICTION MARKETS",
            "url": "/latest?format=md"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "id": "read-the-receipt",
        "title": "Read the receipt",
        "summary": "US10Y 4.961%; GLD -1.49%; SLV -2.20%.",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "label": "HARD MONEY & YIELDS in /latest",
            "url": "/latest?format=md"
          },
          {
            "label": "Yahoo ^TNX",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ETNX/"
          },
          {
            "label": "Yahoo GLD",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GLD/"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "id": "stories-dont-match",
        "title": "Stories don’t match",
        "summary": "Soft wire / Hollywood attention vs rates, defense, and bets — same day, different planets.",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "label": "Headline: Swedish left-wing bloc narrowly ahead with elect…",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0qx5d79kdeo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss"
          },
          {
            "label": "Hollywood: Emmys 2026 Red Carpet: Adam Brody, Matty…",
            "url": "https://variety.com/gallery/emmys-2026-red-carpet-fashion-looks/"
          },
          {
            "label": "Defense / stockpile headline",
            "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/air/2026/09/14/us-military-must-focus-on-right-mix-of-weapons-amid-stockpile-concerns-official/"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "sections": [
      {
        "id": "headlines",
        "title": "TODAY'S HEADLINES",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 24 of cap 24 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 24,
        "cap": 24
      },
      {
        "id": "geopolitics",
        "title": "GEOPOLITICS & SECURITY",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 8 of cap 8 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 8,
        "cap": 8
      },
      {
        "id": "energy",
        "title": "ENERGY & COMMODITIES",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 6 of cap 6 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 6,
        "cap": 6
      },
      {
        "id": "hollywood",
        "title": "HOLLYWOOD",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 8 of cap 8 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 8,
        "cap": 8
      },
      {
        "id": "markets",
        "title": "MARKETS SNAPSHOT",
        "state": "ok",
        "note": "Showing 18 (cap 40).",
        "shown": 18,
        "cap": 40
      },
      {
        "id": "hard-money",
        "title": "HARD MONEY & YIELDS",
        "state": "ok",
        "note": "Showing 5 (cap 8).",
        "shown": 5,
        "cap": 8
      },
      {
        "id": "crypto",
        "title": "CRYPTO SNAPSHOT",
        "state": "ok",
        "note": "Showing 3 (cap 6).",
        "shown": 3,
        "cap": 6
      },
      {
        "id": "polymarket",
        "title": "PREDICTION MARKETS",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 8 of cap 8 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 8,
        "cap": 8
      },
      {
        "id": "tech",
        "title": "TRENDING IN TECH",
        "state": "partial",
        "note": "Showing 8 of cap 8 (floor — more existed after filters).",
        "shown": 8,
        "cap": 8
      }
    ],
    "prediction": {
      "thesis": "Fed path is priced for another hike — short-duration cash and energy beat long-duration hope until the print flips.",
      "action": "This week, keep most money in safe short-term cash (like T-bills) and a little in energy/oil names. Don't pile into big tech hopes. Keep the bet small. If Polymarket's Fed hike odds fall under 45%, change the plan.",
      "payoffWindow": "5–10 trading days",
      "confidence": 0.74,
      "rationale": "Polymarket Fed +25 bps ~88% Yes; US10Y 4.961%; oil day move +6.08%. Loud soft news does not pay the bill — the rate path does.",
      "instruments": [
        "BIL",
        "USO",
        "XOM",
        "SPY"
      ]
    },
    "horizons": [
      {
        "mode": "daily",
        "status": "ready",
        "note": "Daily assessment + money prediction from this run.",
        "daysRequired": 1,
        "daysAvailable": 1
      },
      {
        "mode": "weekly",
        "status": "collecting",
        "note": "Weekly rollup + prediction unlocks after ~7 stored daily runs.",
        "daysRequired": 7,
        "daysAvailable": 1
      },
      {
        "mode": "monthly",
        "status": "collecting",
        "note": "Monthly rollup + prediction unlocks after ~28 stored daily runs.",
        "daysRequired": 28,
        "daysAvailable": 1
      },
      {
        "mode": "annual",
        "status": "collecting",
        "note": "Annual rollup + prediction unlocks after ~365 stored daily runs.",
        "daysRequired": 365,
        "daysAvailable": 1
      }
    ],
    "freshness": {
      "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T22:04:46.961Z",
      "date": "2026-09-14",
      "runId": "zg-2026-09-14T22-04-46-961Z"
    }
  }
}